Monthly Archives: March 2015

5 Things To Ponder: What Hath The Fed Wrought

I was having lunch with a very dear friend of mine yesterday, who is also a very successful financial planner and advisor, who stunned me with an obvious question: “Has the dumb money become the smart money?”  What we were discussing is that, collectively, the majority of the conversations that we were having with our clients…

The Philly Fed ADS Business Conditions Index

Note from dshort: I’ve updated my periodic look at the Philly Fed ADS Index through yesterday’s release, which included the latest Initial Jobless Claims (for the week ending March 14th). The Philly Fed’s Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index (hereafter the ADS index) is a fascinating but relatively little known real-time indicator of business conditions for the…

Morning Call For March 20, 2015

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS June E-mini S&Ps (ESM15 +0.32%) this morning are up and European stocks are up +0.31% as Greek default concerns eased after Greek Prime Minister Tsipras said he was “more optimistic” after deliberations with EU leaders in Brussels. That fueled gains in Greek government bonds and the Greek 10-year bond yield fell back…

EC How To Spot

“A truly great business must have an enduring ‘moat’ that protects excellent returns on invested capital” -Warren Buffett My most successful and long-lasting investments have always come about when I’ve invested in a company with a strong and enduring “moat”. Buffett worked out long ago that a company that’s able to sustain high returns over…

Philly Fed Business Outlook: Modest Growth, A Bit Below Expectati

The Philly Fed’s Business Outlook Survey is a monthly report for the Third Federal Reserve District, covers eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware. The latest gauge of General Activity came in at 5.0, essentially unchanged from last month’s 5.2 and the lowest reading since the -2.0 contraction in February of last year. The 3-month moving average…