Finance

Comovement In Economic Policy Uncertainty

Reader Ed Hanson makes a puzzling assertion regarding trade policy measures announced by Mr. Trump, and the evolution of policy uncertainty as measured by Baker, Bloom and Davis: As for the uncertainty, I can not make your author’s calculation but I can look at the front page of the policyuncertainty.com site and look at the headline monthly index they present….

How To Think About Unsustainable Returns

What a difference nine years makes. On March 9, 2009, the market capitalization of Apple, Google (now Alphabet), Amazon, and Microsoft stood at $74 billion, $92 billion, $26 billion, and $135 billion. Their combined market cap: $327 billion. Data Source for all charts/tables herein: YCharts. Nine years later these four companies would grow to become…

Why Be Long Term Bearish On Markets?

In this crucial weekend video newsletter update we go through the case to be bearish and how you can protect your life savings and even profit from another downside move in the market. If you didn’t capitalize on the trading opportunities last week then watch this video right now for the trading opportunities next week.

Yuan Risk Remains Elevated Amid US, China Seeking Trade Allies, 1

Fundamental Forecast for CNH: Neutral China’s Foreign Minister will attend the China-Japan Economic Dialogue in Tokyo, after it suspended for 8-years. China has been strengthening connections with other neighboring countries since the end of March. China will release 2018’1Q Gross Domestic Product as well as March Fixed Assets Investments. The Chinese Yuan rose against the U.S. Dollar this…

8 Reasons To Hold Cash

Over the last several weeks I have been addressing the potential for a reflexive rally from market support. I laid out three possible paths for the rally which I want to review. Let’s step back to March 23. Nearly a month later, and we are watching the “pathways” play out very close to our “guess.”  “With the breakdown of the…

Canadian Dollar: Syria Is A Double-edged Sword

The US, the UK, and France launched airstrikes against Syria, attempting to destroy chemical weapons that the Assad regime previously used against its citizens. Russian President Putin and Iran have condemned the attack and warned of the consequences. Trump called it a “sustained response” while UK Theresa May said it was limited. Tensions around Syria…

EC Why Is The

The market appears to be painting JPMorgan (JPM) with the same brush as Wells Fargo (WFC) and Citigroup (C) after their quarterly releases, but the fact is that JPMorgan’s report represented all around strength and offers useful read-throughs for what to expect from pure-play investment banks, trust banks and regional operators in the coming days.   It isn’t hard to appreciate…