July Jangles Markets’ Nerves: Treasury Yields Tumble, Stocks Fumble, & Commodities Crumble

No excuse needed…

This seemed to sum the talking heads up today…

Everyone who loves the ECI index is now searching for another index to like

— GreekFire23 (@GreekFire23) July 31, 2015

Everything was awsome today after the worst wage growth in US history sent stocks soaring.. and then they unleashed The Bullard:

  • 1408ET *FED'S BULLARD SAYS “IN GOOD SHAPE” FOR SEPT HIKE: DJ VIA CNBC
  • Complete chaos today…

     

    With cash indices ending mixed (Nasdaq desperately clinging to green and Small caps ripped on biotech reach for safety lol!!!)

     

    A complete disconnect between yields and stocks until Bullard spoiled the party…

     

    Today across bonds, stocks, and gold…

     

    Stocks were rolling over hard and then…

  • The Market Broke – 1532ET *NYSE HAVING BINARY GATEWAY LATENCY ISSUE ON IP 159.125.64.138
  • And so VIX was slammed…to ensure S&P holds the all-important 2100 level…

     

    *  *  *

    Year-to-Date… Dow's down, Bonds down-er, Crude down-est… as The US Dollar is up 7.5%…

     

    Trannies are still the big laggards with Nasdaq leading…

     

    Led by (Biotechs) as Energy remains the biggest loser…

     

    *  *  *

    It was quite a month!!

    Bonds hot, commodities cold, stocks meh…

     

    Bonds had their best month since January… (TLT +4.3%) – 2s30s biggest flattening (-23bps) since January

     

    Stocks managed – after this week's epic surge – to get into the green for July…Trannies best month since Feb (up 4.1%) but Small Caps (Russell 2000) fell for the first time since April

     

    Commodities worst month since Sept 2011… to the lowest since April 2002

     

     

  • WTI Crude's worst month since Oct 2008 (down 20.5%) – lowest close since March 2015
  • Copper's worst month since Jan 2015 (down 10%) – lowest close since June 2009
  • Gold's worst month since June 2013 (down 6.5%) – lowest monthly close since Jan 2010
  • Silver's worst month since Sept 2014 (down 6%) – lowest monthly close since July 2009
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