Finance

When Will The Fed Raise Rates? Voluntarily…Never.

The world’s central bankers started QE (Quantitative Easing) programs and government debt buying back in late 2008 as a “temporary” measure to provide liquidity to struggling economies. Ever since 2008 people have been debating when U.S. interest rates will be heading back up. Answering that question requires insight into politics more than it does economics….

Don’t Bet On $70 Oil Lasting Long

Oil platform. Source: Wikipedia You puttin’ the hurtin’ on ‘em now. – Tommy Wilkerson Dear Diary, Again, we quote our old friend. Mr. Market has been puttin’ the hurtin’ on gold bulls. Yesterday, he went after the gold shorts. Gold rose $42.60 – or 3.6%. That’s proportionally equal to a move of 640 points on the…

Social Media Indicators Close To Warning

Our Twitter and StockTwits momentum indicators for the the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are getting close to issuing a consolidation warning. Twitter momentum has a small negative divergence as the market moves higher. Meanwhile, the StockTwits community is still confirming the uptrend with higher highs and higher lows in momentum. A break below the current…

2 Horseman Diverge

One Horseman is riding up to new highs but is not confirmed by the other Horseman, which sees silver continuing to out perform gold in micro term. Further, Horseman #1 is loved by everyone. Here is its over bullish public opinion (Optix) status from Sentimentrader.com. Maybe this time will be different. Then again, probably not. USD,…

Gold Forward Rates Plunge

Negative GOFO Rates Become More So The gold forward offered rate (GOFO for short) is a swap rate for a gold-dollar swap. If one owns gold and wants to borrow dollars, one can use one’s gold as collateral for a dollar loan, and GOFO is effectively the interest rate one pays for this swap. Implied…

Has HSBC Damaged Bitcoin?

HSBC recently severed its ties with GA Advisors, the world’s first regulated Bitcoin investment fund. Supposedly, the bank was worried about a “money laundering risk” activities in the Bitcoin industry. Global Advisors’ Daniel Masters believes that the step taken by HSBC will prove to be a huge hurdle for the Bitcoin investment fund, which he…

Maybe A Dip

I’ve been waiting for a short term top for almost three weeks now. Maybe we’ve finally got one. If this is the case it’s time to watch market internals to see if they hold up or fail in the face of lower prices. One of the things I’m watching most carefully is the percent of stocks…