Monthly Archives: September 2015

CPI And HICP Deflation In Spain Accelerates

After a brief 0.1% rise in inflation in June and July, Spain’s National Statistics Institute (INE) estimates the CPI stands at ‒0.9% in September, five tenths lower than that registered in August. The above is a “flash” reading. The INE reports Spain’s HICP (Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices), a measure that normalizes Spain with the…

Is The Junk Bond Market The Next 2008?

Recency bias is a real sonofabitch.  After someone goes through a traumatic experience they tend to be shocked into believing that the next big traumatic experience is right around the corner.  But the reality is that outlier events are outlier events for a reason – they don’t happen nearly as often as we expect.  For…

The 2 Best Small Caps

Today I wanted to use Barchart to sort the S&P 600 Small Cap Index stock to find the stocks with both a Weighted Alpha higher than 50.00+ and technical buy signals of 80% or better. There were only 2 – Digi International (NASDAQ:DGII) and Pericom Semiconductor (NASDAQ:PSEM). However, Pericom is up on a buy out proposal which has already been announced…

Is The Worst Over For The Russian Economy?

Russia, the world’s largest nation, has seen its economy shift up and down and sideways, remaining staunchly viable for some time and then falling bitterly. Often the movement is in reaction to outside pressures while at other times it can be attributed to internal causes. Only recently, analysts viewed Russia as being economically weak and…

S&P 500 Volatility-Based Price Probability Range

Historical volatility projection suggests the range of probable S&P 500 prices from around 1750 to 2050 by year-end Major trend indicators suggest high probability of prices ending in the lower half of the probability range GAAP P/E and forward operating P/E ratios reverting to 5-year and 10-year averages suggest prices in the 1700’s GAAP earnings have…