How Expectations Coordinate Markets

Open, competitive markets have a resilient capacity to successfully coordinate the actions of, now, billions of people around the world. With an amazing adaptability to changing circumstances, the actions and reactions of multitudes of suppliers and demanders are brought into balance with each other. Yet, none of this requires government planning, regulation or directing control….

Equal Weighted Equity Performance Lagged In 2017

One equity market phenomenon that played out in 2017 was the fact larger capitalization stocks were larger contributors to market returns. One way to evaluate this is to review the return of the cap weighted S&P 500 Index versus the equal weighted Guggenheim S&P 500 Index (RSP). As the below chart shows, the equal weighted index underperformed…

EURUSD – Breakout To New Highs?

The EURUSD is closing in on multi-month highs as the pair reaches for the 1.2100 figure amidst very bullish sentiment in the market. The market clearly wants to take the pair higher on the assumption the better growth in the region will force the ECB to taper QE sooner rather than later. ECB officials, meanwhile,…

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The new year was ushered in with bonds selling off and all attention turned to the anticipated increase in central bank rates. The Federal Reserve has signaled that it intends to continue to raise the Fed funds rate in its quest for normalization. Reports out of the ECB are calling for the unwinding of its…