Finance

Can Money Just Be Devalued Creating Deflation As A Solution

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Is it possible that governments devalue currencies to confiscate capital like taxes? It really does not seem likely that these people have any intention of moving into hyperinflation. They are increasing money supply but at a slower rate than the destructive deflation. It clearly appears governments are in a confiscation mode and it…

Commodities Drop; Oil Prices Down

Oil resumed declines after jumping from a five-year low and metals retreated amid the highest commodity-price volatility in two years. Asian stocks rebounded and South Korea’s won led emerging-market currencies higher. West Texas Intermediate crude retreated 0.5 percent by 1:04 p.m. in Tokyo, after yesterday’s 4.3 percent surge from its lowest settlement since September 2009….

OPEC Decision Expected And Justified

OPEC meeting went as expected. There was no formal agreement to cut production in the first meeting since the price correction. This part is very similar to 1998. Prices did their thing by falling down and now slowly rebounding. OPEC is making the decision they are not the marginal barrel.  Unlike their decision in 1997,…

T2108 Update – From Topping To Chopping And An Apple “Flash Dip”...

T2108 Status: 56.5% (2-day decline of 20% qualifies for quasi-oversold status)T2107 Status: 49.4%VIX Status: 14.3General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold bullish positions but start taking profits if S&P 500 selling follows through. Aggressive bears can start shorting with stops at new all-time highsActive T2108 periods: Day #30 over 20%, Day #28 over 30%, Day #25 over…

The German Euro Is Overvalued

I keep telling people that the German euro is undervalued, but some folks seem not to believe me. (See the comments section from this post last year for an example.) But this is a really big deal. The dominant narrative about the eurozone crisis is that fiscally irresponsible countries like Greece were bringing the once-proud currency to its knees,…

Holiday Shopping: Olaf Dethrones Frosty While Elsa Reigns Supreme

Last month, I wrote that pre-holiday shipments of Frozen merchandise pointed to a blowout year for Disney (DIS). Today, I have some updated numbers to share from global trade site Panjiva. Some points worth noting: Olaf is the new Frosty. Olaf merchandise shipments outpaced Frosty the Snowman merchandise shipments by 77%, and this despite Frosty having a multi-decade head start on the…

Adtech Is Not For You

Like many, I set aside 15 minutes to read Aleph’s latest blog post about the AdTech industry and what engineers should devote their time and brains into these companies. I know and respect the people at Aleph and as a person believe each is entitled to have an opinion, we don’t always have to agree.. But, as a…

And The Biggest Winner From The OPEC Price War Is…

“This is a golden time window to acquire more strategic oil at lower costs,” notes one Hong-Kong based analyst, as Bloomberg confirms what we have noted here and here, that China is emerging as the winner from OPEC’s battle with rival oil producers as the world’s biggest energy consumer stockpiles crude. 84 tankers remain en route to Chinese destinations… Bloomberg confirms,

Too Much Pie

Podcast: Play in new window | Play in new window (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB) DOW – 51 = 17,776 SPX – 14 = 2053 NAS -64 = 4727 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.22% OIL + 3.22 = 69.37 GOLD + 44.30 = 1213.80 SILV + .88 = 16.56 Last week I said that you can never eat…