Monthly Archives: July 2017

It’s Complicated

Things changed a lot in the past two weeks. The US Fed’s promises to keep tightening financial conditions look a lot shakier than they did at the start of the month, thanks to a series of weak economic readings in the US. I still think we need to be wary of central bankers but with…

Subprime Redux: Problems Brewing In Auto Loans

It’s classic subprime: hasty loans, rapid defaults, and, at times, outright fraud. Only this isn’t the U.S. housing market circa 2007. It’s the U.S. auto industry circa 2017. A decade after the mortgage debacle, the financial industry has embraced another type of subprime debt: auto loans. And, like last time, the risks are spreading as…

The BOJ Bond Buying Binge

As the Bank of Japan is set to meet this week to review monetary policy settings it’s worth checking in on a couple of particularly relevant charts.  The first one shows the Bank of Japan has now accumulated an impressive 45% of all outstanding Japanese government debt.  Strictly speaking this is not debt monetization but it’s not…

AUD/JPY Rallies To Fresh Yearly Highs – Initial 2017 Targets In V...

  Technical Outlook: AUD/JPY closed above technical resistance at 87.55/64 last week, keeping the broader long-bias intact. Price is pushing through the yearly opening-range highs on this stretch with the rally now eyeing our initial yearly target at 90.64-91.23. This range is defined by the 1.618% extension of the 2016 advance and the 50% retracement of the…

Get Rich Slowly

“The people who have gotten rich quickly are also the ones who got poor quickly.” – John Templeton A Forbes article of July 1974 profiled John Templeton and highlighted some of the wisdom he implemented in his investment process. The article touched on his discipline of consistently praying to God “for wisdom and clear thinking” at the start…