Monthly Archives: June 2017

EUR/USD Forecast June 5-9 2017

EUR/USD made an attempt to move higher but never went too far. The highlight of the upcoming week is the ECB decision. Will Draghi upgrade the assessment?  Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD. ECB President Mario Draghi kept things balanced when expressed optimism about growth but worries about…

ETF Investors Think June Rate Hike Baked In, Eyeing Shorts On Gol

On a day when the US unemployment numbers showed a noticeable number of people leaving the workforce amid a pale 138,000 jobs created – expectations were for 185,000 jobs — traders are nonetheless preparing for a 25 basis point increase in the Fed Funds June rate hike. Traders expect June Rate Hike Financial analytics firm S3 Partners, Ihor Dusaniwsky,…

Don’t Expect Fed To Cause Apocalypse

Don’t expect Fed to cause Apocalypse The Fed has ample room to shrink its balance sheet by draining excess commercial bank reserves held at the Fed without causing either the economy to crater or debt and equity markets to crash. Indeed this has been rapidly underway since the start of 2016. As mentioned previously the…

Autos And Liquidity Preferences

When looking at the bond market or eurodollar futures, both tugged by JPY, I don’t think it was just the payroll report that pushed new levels of anti-reflation today. Instead, there is too much that is consistent with a weak payroll report, and by that I mean a string of them. Yesterday, for example, automakers…

Crude Oil Inventories Drop Once Again – Where Are The Oil Bulls?...

Although the EIA showed a larger-than-expected drop in crude oil inventories, the black gold closed the day only four cents above Wednesday’s closure. Where are the oil bulls? Fundamental Factors and Crude Oil Yesterday, the Energy Information Administration showed that crude oil inventories dropped 6.4 million barrels, exceeding the 4.4 million-barrel drop forecast. Additionally, gasoline…

Market Recap – Is An Uber IPO On The Horizon?

Market Digest – Week Ending 06/02/2017 Following the holiday weekend, U.S. and international stocks were relatively flat amidst myriad political news and economic data points. Equities subsequently rebounded Thursday with ADP reporting stronger than expected private payroll figures and oil stabilizing after recent declines. Gains continued into Friday despite mixed data on U.S. labor, where…