Monthly Archives: April 2016

Bank ETFs Hurt By The Dovish Fed

The hope of another rate hike in the near term took a nosedive after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen stated that the U.S. central bank should proceed cautiously in adjusting policy rates. Yellen’s dovish comments were in stark contrast to several Fed officials who last week hinted at a sooner-than-expected rate hike, potentially in April…

Is Economic Growth In Its Final Innings?

It’s the same story pretty much everywhere: Cities and states promised ridiculously generous (by today’s standards) pensions to teachers, cops and firefighters, failed to sufficiently fund the plans and invested the money they did have very badly. And now the weight of the resulting unfunded obligations are crushing not just plan recipients but entire communities….

What Is “Solid Economic Reasoning”?

Writing in The Nation, Robert Pollin asserts: All of [Bernie Sanders’s] major proposals are grounded in solid economic reasoning and evidence. Reading this statement, I was quite surprised. Despite the fact that many of the proposed policies would, in my opinion, likely prove beneficial — greater infrastructure spending for instance — the key question surrounds the impact of…

U.S. Dollar Braces For NFP – Rally To Offer Favorable Short

US Dollar Daily Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0 Technical Outlook: The Dow Jones FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR) is working on its fifth day of consecutive declines after reversing off confluence resistance at 12030 noted on Monday. Heading into Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow, the immediate short-bias is at risk while above the median line extending off the yearly high with interim resistance…

Quarter End Repetition

It is quarter end, so illiquidity irregularity is to be expected except that it isn’t irregular really. Eurodollar futures have been heavily bid for three days in a row now, leaving four consecutive up days for the first time since the liquidations. And because I am a sucker for fractal behavior, repo markets proved that…