Income-hungry investors are often drawn to Business Development Companies (BDC) because of their high dividend yields (many of them are currently in excess of 10%). Generally speaking, it can be a red flag when a publicly-traded investment yields in the double digits, perhaps a sign of distress. However, the BDC space may be ripe for…
During the day on Thursday, the market has very little in the way of announcements to move the market, so having said that it is likely that that we will have a fairly subtle day with perhaps the exception of the GDP numbers coming out of the United States. USD/CHF The USD/CHF pair rose slightly…
I’ve offered up Prudential, shown below, as a short idea over and over again, but it just sort of farted along, in spite of its absolutely glorious topping pattern. Well, our national nightmare is over. It’s finally falling, and I expect ungodly lower prices to come in the months ahead.
Analysis Overview – The yield spread (10-year Treasuries minus three-month Treasuries) is a good indicator of economic slowdown or potential recession and this article discusses recession probability from yield spread perspective. The chart below gives the yield spread from 1959 to February 2016. It is important to note that in all recent instances of recession, the…
Analysis Overview – The yield spread (10-year Treasuries minus three-month Treasuries) is a good indicator of economic slowdown or potential recession and this article discusses recession probability from yield spread perspective. The chart below gives the yield spread from 1959 to February 2016. It is important to note that in all recent instances of recession, the…
The EURUSD is standing at very important POC 1.1145-60. This is 4h support and POC ( T-89 ™, Inner Trend Line, Historical Bullish Order Block). If EURUSD wants to go up it should spike from POC else we might see a drop towards 1.1055 -a historical BPC pattern. On the chart we can easily identify…
If you are a red blooded American of a certain age, eventually your metabolism will simply stop working. It doesn’t matter that you exercise every week. It doesn’t matter that you take 20,000 steps each day. It doesn’t matter that you eat only boiled eggs for breakfast. You will start getting fat. The belly will…
Value stocks offer an opportunity to buy a stock that is currently undervalued by the market. Longer term investors tend to love value stocks as way to take advantage of current market conditions changing over time. A stock that might be ignored by investors today could be a big pay day tomorrow. Some value stocks…
Credit Suisse released its annual report for 2015 today allowing us to update its progress through winding down its eurodollar activity exposures. As expected, the bank’s gross notional balance sheet offerings declined by quite a bit in Q4. Gross notional interest rate swaps fell by 15% from Q3 to just CHF 28.8 trillion, the largest…
If easy money has stopped working, then what’s left? Massive deficits, of course. Pressure is building on governments around the world to increase spending and pay for it with borrowed funds. Sound familiar? It should, since it’s what they’ve been doing on and off for decades. But this time, “fiscal stimulus” will, like QE and…
