Monthly Archives: February 2016

HUI Update…

Below is a daily chart for the HUI which shows the double bottom with the breakout. I mentioned last week that in a perfect Chartology world this would be a good place to see some type of consolidation pattern form above the double bottom hump which comes in around the 139 area which would also…

Empire State Manufacturing Contracts 7th Month

Another Dismal Manufacturing Report The string of dismal manufacturing reports continues unabated today, starting back at the top with the Empire State Survey, the first of Fed-sponsored regional surveys. This survey is conducted by the New York Fed. Contraction in the Empire State region has now lasted seven months. The Econoday Consensus Estimate was -10. The survey…

The Easy Money Game Has Changed

Why you should hope the Fed hikes again in 2016… Like Pavlov’s dog, market participants seem to salivate with any mention of quantitative easing (QE). For good reason, I suppose, as they have been conditioned to believe that quantitative easing means higher stock prices. Indeed, since QE1 was launched in December of 2008, all of…

China Trade Unsurprisingly Collapses Again

Last month when China’s exports “only” declined by 1.7% (revised) the entire orthodox world took it as a definitive signal for the long-awaited monetary stimulus effects. Whether it was the yuan’s “devaluation” or the six rate cuts and the often double shots of reserve requirement reductions that accompanied them, December trade figures were so very…

Bull Of The Day: Dave And Busters Entertainment

Dave and Busters Entertainment (PLAY – Snapshot Report) is an owner and operator of dining and entertainment venues across North America. Headquartered in Dallas Texas, their venues offer food and drink, as well as an assortment of entertainment games and televised sporting events. The locations offer a unique blend of entertainment for adults with a bar atmosphere, along…

Oil Price Volatility Soars Near Record Highs

Oil prices (and the broader financial markets) have suffered from acute bouts of volatility so far in 2016, with dramatic intraday swings the most worrying feature, and as OilPrice.com’s Charles Kennedy warns, this shows no signs of letting up. With realized volatility soaring…   The CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index, that tracks (as it name suggests) the implied…