Monthly Archives: August 2015

Why Puerto Rico Could Cost You More Than Greece

    For the past few weeks, Greece’s flirtation with default has dominated the headlines – and for good reason. The danger to international markets is very real. But for American income investors, a default closer to home could prove even more disastrous. Should Puerto Rico default on $72-billion worth of municipal bond debt, it would hit…

Softness In Economic Fundamentals

This past week we released our economic forecast for August which is indicating the weakest growth since 2010. There are forces working against economic expansion on Main Street. Also this past week, there was a major decline in the Conference Board Consumer Confidence index. What caused this decline? Consider that Main Street does not react…

Goldman Warns “The Global Economy Is Going Round In (Smalle

Amid the collapse in commodities, crashing Chinese stocks, the weakest US wage growth in US history, and a data-dependent Fed; Goldman Sachs (GS) fears the new normal is ‘shorter-and-faster’ business cycles with no persistence primed by monetary policies. Most worryingly, they conclude, will short business cycles beget shorter business cycles?   As Goldman notes, Cycles:…