Monthly Archives: August 2015

HH Evaluating The Chinese Devaluation

The 2% devaluation of the Chinese yuan on Monday, and subsequent 1.6% weakening on Tuesday, was variously described as surprising and stunning. I think it was to be expected, given China’s slowing growth, although there was no particular reason to believe Monday would be the day. In evaluating the effects, one has to first place the…

Our Government, Destroyer Of Jobs

If our government can’t destroy all the private-sector jobs directly, it will do so indirectly by borrowing so much money the system collapses. Conventional economists and pundits are puzzled why jobs growth has been so anemic in this “recovery.” Here’s one factor they overlook: our government. In theory, our government is supposed to encourage private sector…

EC Saudi Oil S

In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market’s swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices.  In October, Saudi sources first prepared the market with statements that the country would be comfortable with…

Greece – A Mystery And The Core Of The Problem

The Industrious Greeks Mystery In the course of the Greek crisis, animosities between creditor countries like Germany and Greece didn’t take long to surface. They were fired up in the tabloid press, which was quick to revive various stereotypes. In Greece, Germans soon found themselves compared to their Nazi predecessors, while German tabloids inter alia complained sotto voce about…

A Closer Look At The Death Cross

Today I am featuring a guest post by my good friend, Ryan Detrick, which looks at the Death Cross in greater detail than I have ever seen. Yesterday, we had what technicians call a Death Cross form on the Dow.  This happens when the longer-term 200-day moving average crossed beneath the faster moving 50-day moving average. …

U.S. Retail Sales: July 2015 Preview

US retail sales are expected to increase 0.3% in tomorrow’s July report vs. the previous month, according to The Capital Spectator’s average point forecast for several econometric estimates. The mean prediction reflects a modest rebound after the previous month’s 0.3% decline. Two recent surveys of economists project moderately higher rates of growth for retail spending…