BTC/USD Forex Signal – Tuesday, Oct. 2

Last Thursday's signals were not triggered, as there was no bearish price action at $6,569 or $6,643.

Today's BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be entered before 5pm Tokyo time, over the next 24-hour period only.

Long Trades

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,446 or $6,353 or $6,171.
  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.
  • Short Trades

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,643 or $6,811.
  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.
  • The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

    BTC/USD Analysis

    I wrote last Thursday that I saw the most exciting, interesting places for strong, medium-term reversals as both $6,171 and $6,643. The price actually broke strongly above the resistance at $6,643 but has returned to settle in its area where it tends to be more settled. The long-term technical picture shows a consolidating triangle and a continuing absence of any real trend. This suggests that the best trades will be any strong reversals off key levels in either direction. I see a move down as slightly more likely to happen as there is a confluence of a long-term bearish trend line and horizontal resistance at $6,643 so a short from a bearish reversal here looks like the most interesting possible trade which might set up today.

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