Monthly Archives: March 2018

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Happy Easter & Passover to all! It’s been a ‘Monster Bull’ since I said ‘if Trump wins it’s going to the moon’; not interstellar space. For now that’s the point. Next week I will address several new topics of potential influence: among those are Japan’s decision to make ALL pension managers for the State ‘performance’…

GBP/USD Forecast Apr. 2-6: Losing Its Shine

GBP/USD made a move to the upside but eventually ended the week lower. Where next? The first week of April features the all-important purchasing managers’ indices. Here are the key events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD. UK GDP was confirmed at 0.4% q/q and 1.4% y/y. While this was no surprise, the numbers are…

What Lies Ahead For Telecom ETFs?

U.S. telecommunications industry had a disappointing 2017. However, signs of improvement were apparent from fourth-quarter 2017 with most of the major telecommunications stocks starting to perform well. Notably, all four national wireless carriers have gained postpaid subscribers in the last reported quarter. Upcoming 5G Wireless Network Fifth-generation (5G) superfast wireless networks will provide primary impetus…

‘Nervous Reactions Will Be More Frequent’: Lessons From 2018’s Tw...

In the foreword to their Q2 outlook, Barclays describes a phone call with an “exasperated” client who in late January was desperate to buy a dip that wouldn’t come. How, he wondered, does one buy the dip if stocks only keep rising? Well, “one” doesn’t. Rather, “one” is relegated to buying on any momentary, fleeting weakness or,…

In Unprecedented Move, China Plans To Pay For Oil Imports With Yu

Just days after Beijing officially launched  Yuan-denominated crude oil futures (Beijing officially launched  , as shown in the chart below, surpassing Brent trading volume) which are expected to quickly become the third global price benchmark along Brent and WTI, China took the next major step in the challenging the Dollar’s supremacy as global reserve currency (and internationalizing the…

USD/CAD Forecast April 2-6 – CAD Climb Down

Dollar/CAD turned around once again and it seems that the comeback of the Canadian dollar is over. The upcoming week features the all-important jobs report and a few other figures. Here are the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD. Canada’s GDP shrank in January 2018, the first monthly drop in a year. This came…

USD/CAD Forecast April 2-6 – CAD Climb Down

Dollar/CAD turned around once again and it seems that the comeback of the Canadian dollar is over. The upcoming week features the all-important jobs report and a few other figures. Here are the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD. Canada’s GDP shrank in January 2018, the first monthly drop in a year. This came…

China Macro And Copper

After the very weak result in February (largely a result of Chinese New Year holiday distortions – albeit consistent with our view that growth slows this year), the March results showed a stark, and somewhat predictable rebound. Certainly at the very least the results show that China’s economy is largely stable if not a little…